thank you for your last reply...however stats which contain lines above -.5...-170 and higher dont help me..at that point my book goes to -1.5 goals...the reason i asked about win by a goal and wins by more than one goal at the prices of =.5 and -145 to -165 is because at that exact difference i can get the fav at -.5..-145 and the dog at +1 even money...if the dog wins or there is a tie i loose only juice...37% of the time if your numbers you gave me hold true for -145 to -165,if the fav wins by more than goal i wash out...in a 1 goal win by the fav i win 100..if more than one third of these fav wins are exactly one goal the play is good...on one hundre plays 37 times the fav doesnt win so i loose an average of 55 which is 2035 dollars...if one third of the wins by the fav are one goal wins then i win 2100..more than a third and i win more...it has been working lately...
